Language:English
SC Verl v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Verl (Local)
Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.11%50.79%50.42%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.831.8959.88%54.91%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)
Prediction 24.88%4.02fair odd
EV -0.466%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.67%24.85%25.04%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.553.504.0032.05%28.20%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.36%4.10fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.39%24.37%24.54%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.663.654.0032.26%27.30%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 50.75%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 24.88%; Draw: 24.36%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.466%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.46%EV -3.20%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.76%E -0.953%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.66%E -3.29%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -3.76%E -0.953%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.466%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.636%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.466%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.636%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.55%E -0.636%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.17%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 15:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -9.66%E -5.43%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.03%EV -9.66%E -5.43%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.93%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.16%EV -8.39%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 15:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -10.17%E -5.74%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -9.17%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -12.20%E -7.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -12.20%E -7.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -17.88%E -5.42%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -12.20%E -7.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -22.36%E -7.17%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -19.60%E -5.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-21 15:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -13.21%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -15.24%E -9.13%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -24.47%E -7.89%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-20 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |