L’École des cotes

SC Verl v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 50.75%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.11%50.79%50.42%52.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.821.831.8959.88%54.91%54.64%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.88%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.466%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.155%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.67%24.85%25.04%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.123.553.504.0032.05%28.20%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.36%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.636%
Kelly -0.849%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%24.37%24.54%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.663.654.0032.26%27.30%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.46%EV -3.20%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.76%E -0.953%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:19
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:14
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.66%E -3.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -3.76%E -0.953%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:14
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.466%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.636%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:15
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.466%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.636%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 15:14
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.55%E -0.636%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.17%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:23
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 15:14
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 15:15
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -9.66%E -5.43%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Suprabets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.03%EV -9.66%E -5.43%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.93%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.16%EV -8.39%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 15:21
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -10.17%E -5.74%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -9.17%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 15:25
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 19:04
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -12.20%E -7.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-19 19:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -12.20%E -7.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -17.88%E -5.42%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 15:14
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -12.20%E -7.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -22.36%E -7.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -19.60%E -5.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 15:18
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -13.21%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 15:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -15.24%E -9.13%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -24.47%E -7.89%K -11.65%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-20 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-03-21 15:25