Language:English
SC Preußen Münster v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Preußen Münster (Local)
Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.58%33.38%36.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.652.672.9240.32%37.71%37.38%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)
Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.75%39.96%40.03%40.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.40%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.580%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.46%26.60%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.433.483.7032.05%29.18%28.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 33.42%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 39.98%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -2.42%E -0.829%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -6.85%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.52%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -5.65%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -5.65%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -10.85%E -4.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 16:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 32.75%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.35%EV -10.45%E -4.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 26.90%EV -10.61%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 16:52 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.23%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-16 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:36 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.57%E -0.423%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.23%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.78%EV -17.00%E -5.45%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.78%EV -17.00%E -5.45%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -17.13%E -6.91%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 16:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |