Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Preußen Münster v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

Score final : SC Preußen Münster 3–3 1. FC Saarbrücken

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.829%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%33.58%33.38%36.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.482.652.672.9240.32%37.71%37.38%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.98%2.50cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.75%39.96%40.03%40.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.40%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.580%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%26.46%26.60%27.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.123.433.483.7032.05%29.18%28.78%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Preußen Münster (Local) : 33.42% ; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur) : 39.98% ; Match nul : 26.60%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.70, pour une espérance de -1.57% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -2.42%E -0.829%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -6.85%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.52%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 16:36
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -5.65%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -5.65%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 16:34
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 16:36
Suprabets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -10.85%E -4.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 16:33
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 32.75%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.35%EV -10.45%E -4.66%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.90%EV -10.61%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 16:52
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.23%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 16:36
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 16:36
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:41
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:36
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 16:35
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:36
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:34
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:36
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 16:36
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 16:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 16:36
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.57%E -0.423%K -0.580%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.23%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 16:41
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:41
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-16 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:31
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:31
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-16 16:41
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-16 16:41
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.78%EV -17.00%E -5.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-16 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.78%EV -17.00%E -5.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-16 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -17.13%E -6.91%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-09-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-09-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-09-16 16:50