默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Fortuna Köln v Alemannia Aachen

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 12:03 UTC

最终结果: SC Fortuna Köln 1–1 Alemannia Aachen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Fortuna Köln (主队)

预测 25.79%3.88公平赔率
EV +0.595%
优势 +0.153%
Kelly +0.205%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.93%25.69%25.95%27.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.60%27.78%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alemannia Aachen (客队)

预测 50.39%1.98公平赔率
EV -5.78%
优势 -3.09%
Kelly -6.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
48.87%50.55%50.41%52.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.801.821.8758.82%55.55%54.95%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.82%4.20公平赔率
EV +3.14%
优势 +0.725%
Kelly +0.943%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
21.93%23.76%23.65%26.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.723.654.3330.30%26.88%27.40%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC Fortuna Köln (主队):25.79%;Alemannia Aachen (客队):50.39%;平局:23.82%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.20。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.33,对应+3.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.88%EV -5.34%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.19%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV +3.14%E +0.725%K +0.943%G +0.030%5.3%2026-08-15 11:50
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.79%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +0.044%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:49
Suprabets🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.64%EV -11.32%E -6.43%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.205%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -10.82%E -6.11%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.45%EV -7.29%E -3.96%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:50
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.78%E -3.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:39
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:45
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -12.83%E -7.42%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -12.83%E -7.42%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:55
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.79%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:44
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 11:34
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:05
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:05
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 11:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:50
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:50
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -12.83%E -7.42%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 11:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -17.46%E -5.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-15 10:34
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -11.82%E -6.76%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 11:04
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -3.27%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.79%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -19.01%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:48
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -17.46%E -5.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.17%EV -21.39%E -6.48%K -9.30%G +0.000%20.4%2026-08-15 11:49
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -17.46%E -5.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.17%EV -21.39%E -6.48%K -9.30%G +0.000%20.4%2026-08-15 11:48
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-15 11:55