Idioma:Español
SC Fortuna Köln v Alemannia Aachen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Fortuna Köln (Local)
Predicción 25.79%3.88momio equitativo
EV +0.595%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.205%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.93%25.69%25.95%27.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.60%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)
Predicción 50.39%1.98momio equitativo
EV -5.78%
Ventaja -3.09%
Kelly -6.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.87%50.55%50.41%52.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.801.821.8758.82%55.55%54.95%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.82%4.20momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.725%
Kelly +0.943%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.93%23.76%23.65%26.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.654.3330.30%26.88%27.40%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SC Fortuna Köln (Local): 25.79%; Alemannia Aachen (Visitante): 50.39%; Empate: 23.82%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.20. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.88%EV -5.34%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.19%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV +3.14%E +0.725%K +0.943%G +0.030% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.79%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +0.044%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.64%EV -11.32%E -6.43%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -10.82%E -6.11%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.45%EV -7.29%E -3.96%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.78%E -3.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -12.83%E -7.42%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -12.83%E -7.42%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.79%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -0.694%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.06%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -12.83%E -7.42%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -17.46%E -5.46%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.30%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -11.82%E -6.76%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -3.27%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.79%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -19.01%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -17.46%E -5.46%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.17%EV -21.39%E -6.48%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -17.46%E -5.46%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -14.34%E -8.44%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.17%EV -21.39%E -6.48%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-08-15 11:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |