Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v Waldhof Mannheim
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 50.91%1.96fair odd
EV -5.82%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.61%50.88%50.90%52.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.25%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)
Prediction 25.30%3.95fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +0.907%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%25.15%25.45%26.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.673.604.1031.25%27.27%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.79%4.20fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.97%23.65%25.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.83%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 50.91%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 25.30%; Draw: 23.79%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +3.72%E +0.907%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +3.72%E +0.907%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.02%EV +0.177%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -7.92%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.91%E -6.23%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -1.34%E -0.344%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.79%EV -8.87%E -4.96%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.31%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 17:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.91%E -6.23%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -13.46%E -7.91%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -13.46%E -7.91%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -11.93%E -6.89%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.68%EV -14.98%E -8.97%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.40%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.92%EV -23.86%E -7.46%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -13.46%E -7.91%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -19.05%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.17%EV -21.48%E -6.51%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-04 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |