L’École des cotes

Rot-Weiss Essen v Waldhof Mannheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prévision 50.91%1.96cote équitable
EV -5.82%
Avantage -3.15%
Kelly -6.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.61%50.88%50.90%52.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.25%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +0.907%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%25.15%25.45%26.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.673.604.1031.25%27.27%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV -4.82%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%23.97%23.65%25.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.83%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +3.72%E +0.907%K +1.20%G +0.045%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:35
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +3.72%E +0.907%K +1.20%G +0.045%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:35
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.02%EV +0.177%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -7.92%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:35
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.91%E -6.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -1.34%E -0.344%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -2.61%E -0.677%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 17:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:25
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.79%EV -8.87%E -4.96%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.31%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 17:36
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.33%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:20
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 17:40
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 17:20
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 17:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -11.42%E -6.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-04 17:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.91%E -6.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 17:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 17:35
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -13.46%E -7.91%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-04 17:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 17:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.36%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 17:09
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -13.46%E -7.91%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-04 17:09
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -11.93%E -6.89%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -16.72%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-04 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.68%EV -14.98%E -8.97%K -22.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.40%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.92%EV -23.86%E -7.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-04 17:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -13.46%E -7.91%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -19.05%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.17%EV -21.48%E -6.51%K -9.34%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-04 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-03-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-03-04 17:40