Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v SC Verl
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.21%38.62%38.58%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.4546.51%42.16%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Verl (Visit)
Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.97%37.39%37.46%38.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.382.6045.45%41.61%42.02%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%23.99%23.96%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.71%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 38.54%; SC Verl (Visit): 37.46%; Draw: 24.00%. For SC Verl (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -2.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -5.96%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.55%EV -3.36%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -5.96%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.55%EV -3.36%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.94%EV -3.36%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.22%EV -6.73%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.22%EV -6.73%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 21:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.70%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -11.98%E -5.10%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-06 18:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.66%E -3.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.66%E -3.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 12:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 08:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 12:03 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.32%EV -10.97%E -4.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.77%EV -7.48%E -3.03%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 00:22 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 07:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 07:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -15.99%E -4.57%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.21%EV -15.21%E -6.91%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.21%EV -17.59%E -8.00%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.58%EV -23.19%E -7.25%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 22.2% | 2026-05-08 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.17%EV -17.14%E -7.97%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.39%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-08 07:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.64%EV -17.14%E -7.97%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.92%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.43%EV -18.39%E -5.41%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-08 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |