L’École des cotes

Rot-Weiss Essen v SC Verl

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 SC Verl

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prévision 38.54%2.59cote équitable
EV -5.58%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -3.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.21%38.62%38.58%40.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.402.4546.51%42.16%41.67%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Verl (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.46%2.67cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.97%37.39%37.46%38.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.382.6045.45%41.61%42.02%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.00%4.17cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -0.997%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%23.99%23.96%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.71%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 17:35
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -5.96%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.55%EV -3.36%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -5.96%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.55%EV -3.36%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 12:59
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.94%EV -3.36%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 00:24
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 17:05
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:04
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.47%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.22%EV -6.73%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 21:44
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.22%EV -6.73%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 21:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 21:39
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 00:24
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.70%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -11.98%E -5.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 21:05
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 07:50
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 18:53
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-06 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 12:04
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.66%E -3.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 12:04
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.66%E -3.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 12:03
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 08:14
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 12:03
Suprabets2.31I 43.29%NM 39.32%EV -10.97%E -4.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.77%EV -7.48%E -3.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 00:22
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 00:24
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 22:09
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 07:49
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 07:49
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 07:49
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-05 21:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -15.99%E -4.57%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-05 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.21%EV -15.21%E -6.91%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.21%EV -17.59%E -8.00%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.58%EV -23.19%E -7.25%K -10.54%G +0.000%22.2%2026-05-08 12:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.17%EV -17.14%E -7.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.39%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-08 07:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 38.64%EV -17.14%E -7.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.92%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.43%EV -18.39%E -5.41%K -7.66%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-08 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%3.9%2026-05-09 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%3.9%2026-05-09 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%3.9%2026-05-09 00:24