Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v Hansa Rostock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%48.07%47.84%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.911.9857.14%53.38%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hansa Rostock (Visit)
Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%27.77%27.92%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.313.303.5034.48%30.23%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.12%24.15%24.24%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.79%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 47.98%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 27.85%; Draw: 24.17%. For Hansa Rostock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -5.95%E -3.04%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.01%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -6.91%E -3.56%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -4.52%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -7.39%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -3.32%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.87%EV -9.22%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 11:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.32%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.36%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 27.32%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.31%EV -10.08%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.63%E -7.57%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.63%E -7.57%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.15%EV -13.63%E -7.57%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -19.25%E -6.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-09-20 11:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -15.55%E -8.84%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -16.03%E -9.16%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-09-20 11:12 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -16.03%E -9.16%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 11:25 |