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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Rot-Weiss Essen v Hansa Rostock

Início: 2026-09-20 11:32 UTC

Final: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–1 Hansa Rostock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Previsão 47.98%2.08odd justa
EV -4.99%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -5.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.87%48.07%47.84%50.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.871.911.9857.14%53.38%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Previsão 27.85%3.59odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.17%27.77%27.92%29.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.313.303.5034.48%30.23%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.17%4.14odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -0.829%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.12%24.15%24.24%25.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.79%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 47.98%; Hansa Rostock (Visitante): 27.85%; Empate: 24.17%. Para Hansa Rostock (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.59. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -2.54%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:14
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -5.95%E -3.04%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.01%EV -4.28%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -6.91%E -3.56%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -4.52%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -7.39%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:14
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:11
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:14
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -3.32%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:04
Suprabets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.87%EV -9.22%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 11:06
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:19
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 11:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.32%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 11:04
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.36%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.32%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.31%EV -10.08%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.63%E -7.57%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-20 11:24
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.63%E -7.57%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-20 11:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.15%EV -13.63%E -7.57%K -17.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -19.25%E -6.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-20 11:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -15.55%E -8.84%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -16.03%E -9.16%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000%19.9%2026-09-20 11:12
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -16.03%E -9.16%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000%19.9%2026-09-20 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-09-20 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-09-20 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-20 11:25