A Escola das Odds

Rot-Weiss Essen v Erzgebirge Aue

Início: 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Previsão 57.07%1.75odd justa
EV -4.12%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -6.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.35%57.05%57.19%58.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.611.621.6866.67%62.12%61.73%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)

Previsão 20.79%4.81odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -0.954%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.74%20.88%20.49%22.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.294.254.6026.32%23.34%23.53%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.14%4.52odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.310%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.78%22.07%22.32%24.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.024.004.5829.41%24.85%25.00%21.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -5.83%E -3.54%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.53%EV -8.13%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.78%EV +1.42%E +0.310%K +0.396%G +0.006%5.1%2026-03-14 12:45
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -8.54%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -2.57%E -0.583%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -8.54%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -2.57%E -0.583%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.57%E -0.583%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.54%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.43%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:04
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.43%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.83%E -3.54%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:30
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.54%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -6.97%E -4.28%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:54
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -10.97%E -7.03%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 12:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 12:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -12.68%E -8.29%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.54%E -7.45%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -21.01%E -5.53%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -11.42%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.83%E -3.54%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:10
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -6.40%E -3.90%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -14.39%E -9.60%K -28.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -12.68%E -8.29%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.85%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 54.35%EV -12.68%E -8.29%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -21.01%E -5.53%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -22.50%E -6.43%K -9.00%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-14 12:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -14.39%E -9.60%K -28.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -24.71%E -7.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-03-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-03-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-03-14 12:55