A Escola das Odds

MSV Duisburg v VfL Osnabrück

Início: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Previsão 26.47%3.78odd justa
EV +3.22%
Vantagem +0.825%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.99%26.31%26.55%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.123.383.403.9032.05%29.59%29.41%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

VfL Osnabrück (Visitante)

Previsão 45.08%2.22odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.24%45.13%45.06%46.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.852.042.052.1454.05%49.02%48.78%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.46%3.51odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.33%28.56%28.39%30.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.193.253.4034.48%31.38%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +3.22%E +0.825%K +1.11%G +0.036%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:29
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +1.89%E +0.492%K +0.665%G +0.013%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.09%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.08%E -0.561%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 16:45
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.08%E -0.561%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -2.08%E -0.561%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 16:35
Suprabets3.61I 27.70%NM 25.20%EV -4.46%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.26%EV -9.39%E -4.67%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.54%EV -12.36%E -4.01%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:47
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 16:55
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 16:25
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:24
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:55
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.50%EV -14.35%E -7.55%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-07 16:35
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:54
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:55
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-07 16:25
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 16:20
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-07 16:34
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 16:20
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 16:19
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 16:10
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 16:09
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 16:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 26.58%EV -17.43%E -5.59%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 44.83%EV -16.60%E -8.98%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.60%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.6%2026-04-07 16:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-04-07 16:55