La escuela de los momiosEspañol
MSV Duisburg v VfL Osnabrück
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV +3.22%
Ventaja +0.825%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.99%26.31%26.55%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.123.383.403.9032.05%29.59%29.41%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfL Osnabrück (Visitante)
Predicción 45.08%2.22momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.24%45.13%45.06%46.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.042.052.1454.05%49.02%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.46%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.33%28.56%28.39%30.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.193.253.4034.48%31.38%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +3.22%E +0.825%K +1.11%G +0.036% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +1.89%E +0.492%K +0.665%G +0.013% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.09%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.08%E -0.561%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.08%E -0.561%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -2.08%E -0.561%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Suprabets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.20%EV -4.46%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.26%EV -9.39%E -4.67%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.54%EV -12.36%E -4.01%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:47 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.50%EV -14.35%E -7.55%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.10%E -6.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.58%EV -17.43%E -5.59%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.83%EV -16.60%E -8.98%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.60%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-04-07 16:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |