Language:English
MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prediction 71.90%1.39fair odd
EV -5.81%
Edge -4.44%
Kelly -18.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.26%71.93%72.00%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3183.33%79.09%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Havelse (Visit)
Prediction 11.06%9.04fair odd
EV +5.92%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +0.690%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 9.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.82%10.99%10.97%12.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.188.409.5815.38%12.22%11.90%10.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.05%5.87fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.55%17.07%17.03%19.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.325.356.0022.73%18.79%18.69%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: MSV Duisburg (Local): 71.90%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 11.06%; Draw: 17.05%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.67%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.58I 10.44%NM 9.86%EV +5.92%E +0.618%K +0.690%G +0.041% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.46%EV -7.78%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +5.03%E +0.530%K +0.592%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.28%E +0.380%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 16:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.69%E -6.84%K -32.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 14:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV -3.26%E -0.372%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 14:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.85%E -8.75%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.40%EV -13.00%E -10.75%K -61.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.81%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -7.13%E -0.849%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -9.65%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.81%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -7.13%E -0.849%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -9.65%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.09%EV -9.89%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.27%EV -15.62%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -19.03%E -4.01%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.26%EV -13.00%E -10.75%K -61.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -11.36%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.94%EV -13.72%E -11.44%K -68.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.79%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.62%EV -14.31%E -1.85%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.05%EV -15.97%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -7.95%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.03%EV -15.97%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.09%EV -8.80%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.03%EV -15.97%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.09%EV -8.80%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -17.08%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-15 14:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.45%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV -19.84%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +0.575%E +0.097%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 10:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 10:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 10:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 10:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.01%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.20%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.26%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -28.14%E -4.33%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.93%EV -24.99%E -5.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-15 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.26%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -28.14%E -4.33%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.93%EV -24.99%E -5.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-15 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |