Idioma:Português
MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Previsão 71.90%1.39odd justa
EV -5.81%
Vantagem -4.44%
Kelly -18.76%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.26%71.93%72.00%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.261.3183.33%79.09%79.37%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
TSV Havelse (Visitante)
Previsão 11.06%9.04odd justa
EV +5.92%
Vantagem +0.618%
Kelly +0.690%
Crescimento +0.041%
pressupondo odds máximas de 9.58
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.82%10.99%10.97%12.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.188.409.5815.38%12.22%11.90%10.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 17.05%5.87odd justa
EV +2.28%
Vantagem +0.380%
Kelly +0.456%
Crescimento +0.010%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.55%17.07%17.03%19.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.325.356.0022.73%18.79%18.69%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: MSV Duisburg (Local): 71.90%; TSV Havelse (Visitante): 11.06%; Empate: 17.05%. Para TSV Havelse (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.04. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.58, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.92%.
Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.67%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.58I 10.44%NM 9.86%EV +5.92%E +0.618%K +0.690%G +0.041% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.46%EV -7.78%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +5.03%E +0.530%K +0.592%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.28%E +0.380%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 16:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.98%E -0.345%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.69%E -6.84%K -32.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -0.495%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 14:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV -3.26%E -0.372%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 14:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.85%E -8.75%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.40%EV -13.00%E -10.75%K -61.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.45%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -6.02%E -0.709%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.81%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -7.13%E -0.849%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -9.65%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.81%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -7.13%E -0.849%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -9.65%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.09%EV -9.89%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.27%EV -15.62%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -19.03%E -4.01%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.26%EV -13.00%E -10.75%K -61.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -11.36%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.94%EV -13.72%E -11.44%K -68.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.79%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.62%EV -14.31%E -1.85%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.05%EV -15.97%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -7.95%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.03%EV -15.97%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.09%EV -8.80%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.03%EV -15.97%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.09%EV -8.80%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.13%E -8.10%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -17.08%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.77%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-15 14:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.45%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV -19.84%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +0.575%E +0.097%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 10:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 10:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 10:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.51%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 10:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.01%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.20%EV -22.61%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -18.18%E -3.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.26%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -28.14%E -4.33%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.93%EV -24.99%E -5.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-15 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.26%EV -12.29%E -10.07%K -55.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.81%EV -28.14%E -4.33%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.93%EV -24.99%E -5.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-09-15 14:34 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |