A Escola das Odds

MSV Duisburg v TSV 1860 München

Início: 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Previsão 42.18%2.37odd justa
EV -5.11%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -4.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%42.17%42.27%43.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.40%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSV 1860 München (Visitante)

Previsão 30.30%3.30odd justa
EV +0.601%
Vantagem +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.80%30.34%30.22%31.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.952.903.3238.02%33.94%34.48%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.52%3.63odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -0.805%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.49%27.49%27.51%29.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.313.353.5335.71%30.18%29.85%28.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 06:15
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 06:14
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 42.78%EV -5.95%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%EV -4.25%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.03%EV -2.84%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:34
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 07:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 07:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:49
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:49
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 07:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 10:39
Suprabets2.14I 46.73%NM 42.48%EV -9.75%E -4.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.22%EV -8.07%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 10:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 09:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:34
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 15:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 11:09
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 12:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 12:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -15.65%E -7.82%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 03:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 12:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 12:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 11:09
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.65%E -7.82%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.24%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -20.31%E -7.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.43%EV -22.93%E -8.19%K -12.74%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-22 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-03-22 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-03-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-22 15:24