La escuela de los momiosMSV Duisburg v TSV 1860 München
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 42.18%2.37momio equitativo
EV -5.11%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -4.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%42.17%42.27%43.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.40%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV 1860 München (Visitante)
Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV +0.601%
Ventaja +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.80%30.34%30.22%31.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.952.903.3238.02%33.94%34.48%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.49%27.49%27.51%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.313.353.5335.71%30.18%29.85%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 06:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 06:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.78%EV -5.95%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%EV -4.25%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.03%EV -2.84%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 07:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 07:49 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 07:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 07:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 07:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| Suprabets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.48%EV -9.75%E -4.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.22%EV -8.07%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 10:20 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 09:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 15:18 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 14:49 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 10:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 10:40 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -15.65%E -7.82%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-22 11:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.65%E -7.82%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-22 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.24%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -20.31%E -7.72%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.43%EV -22.93%E -8.19%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-03-22 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |