مدرسة الاحتمالات

MSV Duisburg v TSV 1860 München

البداية: 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

MSV Duisburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.18%2.37السعر العادل
EV -5.11%
الأفضلية -2.27%
Kelly -4.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.24%42.17%42.27%43.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.40%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

TSV 1860 München (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.30%3.30السعر العادل
EV +0.601%
الأفضلية +0.181%
Kelly +0.259%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.80%30.34%30.22%31.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.952.903.3238.02%33.94%34.48%30.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.52%3.63السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -0.805%
Kelly -1.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.49%27.49%27.51%29.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.313.353.5335.71%30.18%29.85%28.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 06:15
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV +0.601%E +0.181%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 06:14
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 42.78%EV -5.95%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.19%EV -4.25%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.03%EV -2.84%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:34
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 07:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 07:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:49
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:49
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 07:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 10:39
Suprabets2.14I 46.73%NM 42.48%EV -9.75%E -4.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.22%EV -8.07%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 10:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 09:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:34
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 15:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 11:09
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 12:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 12:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -15.65%E -7.82%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 03:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 12:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 12:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -9.32%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 11:09
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.65%E -7.82%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.24%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -20.31%E -7.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.43%EV -22.93%E -8.19%K -12.74%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-22 11:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-03-22 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-03-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-22 15:24