La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
MSV Duisburg v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 42.29%2.36momio equitativo
EV -4.85%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.25%42.39%42.25%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.40%46.08%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)
Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%29.66%29.85%30.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.07%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.624%
Kelly -0.873%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.89%27.96%27.90%29.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.303.5034.72%30.85%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.85%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -5.95%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.18%E -0.624%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.85%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -5.95%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.18%E -0.624%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.78%EV -5.69%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.00%EV -2.08%E -0.632%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.22%EV -5.54%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.96%E -3.17%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 12:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.96%E -3.17%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.96%E -3.17%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.96%E -3.17%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.96%E -3.17%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -7.39%E -3.37%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -7.81%E -3.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 04:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.23%E -3.79%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 12:05 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:17 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 13:35 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 13:40 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.08%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| Suprabets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.64%EV -5.65%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.55%EV -11.13%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:02 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.19%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.73%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.19%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.16%E -5.39%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-08 15:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -11.19%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -18.95%E -6.54%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-08 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.42%E -7.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.60%EV -15.42%E -7.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -16.66%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.69%EV -18.95%E -6.54%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-08 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -15.42%E -7.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -16.66%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -19.51%E -6.77%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 15:10 |