Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg v TSV Havelse

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prediction 62.29%1.61fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%62.49%62.21%64.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.481.5471.43%67.21%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visit)

Prediction 17.56%5.69fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.11%17.44%17.60%19.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.944.905.8023.09%20.24%20.41%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.14%4.96fair odd
EV +0.717%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.06%20.19%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.384.335.0027.78%22.83%23.09%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 62.29%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 17.56%; Draw: 20.14%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -9.68%E -6.67%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +1.87%E +0.323%K +0.390%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:10
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -8.43%E -5.74%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -3.40%E -0.617%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -11.55%E -8.13%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -3.40%E -0.617%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.35%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.35%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.717%E +0.143%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-21 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.717%E +0.143%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.44%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.11%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.45%EV -1.70%E -0.348%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -8.66%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.40%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.42%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 04:20
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:53
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.79%EV -12.38%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:05
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -12.79%E -9.14%K -31.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Suprabets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.58%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.93%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:13
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.57%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 12:55
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.79%E -9.14%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -20.96%E -4.66%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -23.45%E -6.17%K -8.38%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-21 12:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -12.79%E -9.14%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -20.96%E -4.66%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -27.48%E -7.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-21 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.06%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -23.95%E -5.53%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-03-21 12:55