La escuela de los momios

Jahn Regensburg v TSV Havelse

Inicio: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Predicción 62.29%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -7.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%62.49%62.21%64.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.481.5471.43%67.21%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TSV Havelse (Visitante)

Predicción 17.56%5.69momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.390%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.11%17.44%17.60%19.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.944.905.8023.09%20.24%20.41%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.14%4.96momio equitativo
EV +0.717%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%20.06%20.19%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.384.335.0027.78%22.83%23.09%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -9.68%E -6.67%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +1.87%E +0.323%K +0.390%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:10
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -8.43%E -5.74%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -3.40%E -0.617%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:55
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -11.55%E -8.13%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -3.40%E -0.617%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.35%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:55
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -6.91%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.35%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:50
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.717%E +0.143%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-21 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.717%E +0.143%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:50
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.44%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.11%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.45%EV -1.70%E -0.348%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:50
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -8.66%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.40%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.42%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 04:20
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:53
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.79%EV -12.38%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:55
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:05
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 12:05
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -12.79%E -9.14%K -31.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Suprabets1.48I 67.57%NM 61.58%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.93%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:13
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.81%E -5.28%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 04:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.57%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 12:55
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:10
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 59.17%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -17.45%E -3.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.39%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.79%E -9.14%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -20.96%E -4.66%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -23.45%E -6.17%K -8.38%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-21 12:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -12.79%E -9.14%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -20.96%E -4.66%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -27.48%E -7.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-21 12:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.06%EV -10.30%E -7.15%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -23.95%E -5.53%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-03-21 12:55