Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 3.74
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 47.95%; SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit): 26.42%; Draw: 25.63%. For SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.74, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -6.01%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV -1.18%E -0.317%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.24%E -0.606%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.24%E -0.606%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 07:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 07:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 07:13 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.18%EV -11.07%E -3.19%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.20%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -9.02%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 12:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.24%E -0.606%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -18.09%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-28 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-28 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.09%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -23.12%E -7.71%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-26 03:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -15.45%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-28 11:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -20.74%E -6.91%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -17.99%E -5.62%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-28 12:48 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |