L’École des cotes

Jahn Regensburg v SSV Ulm 1846

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prévision 47.95%2.09cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -5.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%48.04%47.78%50.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.921.9855.56%52.41%52.08%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.42%3.78cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.317%
Kelly -0.432%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%26.36%26.53%27.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.303.7433.33%29.88%30.30%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.41%25.60%25.70%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.603.8033.33%28.30%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -6.01%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV -1.18%E -0.317%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 12:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.24%E -0.606%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.24%E -0.606%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 12:50
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:25
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 11:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 11:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 11:50
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 12:25
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 03:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 12:50
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 07:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 07:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 07:13
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.18%EV -11.07%E -3.19%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:46
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 12:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.20%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -9.02%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 12:41
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.24%E -0.606%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 11:05
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -18.09%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-28 11:05
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.09%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -23.12%E -7.71%K -11.56%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-26 03:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -15.45%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 11:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -20.74%E -6.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -17.99%E -5.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-28 12:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%2.7%2026-02-28 12:50