Language:English
Jahn Regensburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.50%31.65%32.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.883.1039.22%34.79%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)
Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -5.77%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.78%42.27%42.12%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.162.2351.28%46.38%46.30%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.23%26.23%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.7031.25%29.14%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 31.55%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 42.26%; Draw: 26.19%. For Jahn Regensburg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.61%E -2.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.19%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.19%E -2.79%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.19%E -2.79%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -11.68%E -5.59%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 26.67%EV -10.69%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.55%EV -6.60%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.46%EV -9.99%E -4.69%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-15 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -8.30%E -3.83%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.88%E -3.61%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 16:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.88%E -3.61%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -9.44%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -9.44%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.97%EV -12.11%E -5.82%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.72%EV -17.60%E -9.03%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.83%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-15 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -9.57%E -4.47%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -17.96%E -6.91%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.49%E -7.74%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-15 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.55%EV -19.54%E -7.66%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.51%EV -15.49%E -7.74%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.94%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-09-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 16:56 |