Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jahn Regensburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inizio: 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Finale: Jahn Regensburg 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jahn Regensburg (Casa)

Previsione 31.55%3.17quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -0.706%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.82%31.50%31.65%32.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.872.883.1039.22%34.79%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.26%2.37quota equa
EV -5.77%
Vantaggio -2.59%
Kelly -4.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.78%42.27%42.12%43.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.162.162.2351.28%46.38%46.30%44.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.19%3.82quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -0.836%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%26.23%26.23%27.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.433.453.7031.25%29.14%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jahn Regensburg (Casa): 31.55%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta): 42.26%; Pareggio: 26.19%. Per Jahn Regensburg (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.17. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.10, con un valore atteso del -2.19%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.61%E -2.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.19%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.19%E -2.79%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.19%E -2.79%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 16:55
Suprabets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -11.68%E -5.59%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.67%EV -10.69%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 16:40
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 30.55%EV -6.60%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.46%EV -9.99%E -4.69%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 16:55
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -8.30%E -3.83%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:55
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.88%E -3.61%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:56
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.88%E -3.61%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:26
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:26
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:24
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 16:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-15 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-15 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -9.44%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 16:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -9.44%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:05
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.97%EV -12.11%E -5.82%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-15 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-15 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.72%EV -17.60%E -9.03%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.83%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-15 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -9.57%E -4.47%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 16:25
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -17.96%E -6.91%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.49%E -7.74%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-15 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.55%EV -19.54%E -7.66%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.51%EV -15.49%E -7.74%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.94%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%20.5%2026-09-15 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-09-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-09-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-09-15 16:56