La scuola delle quote

Jahn Regensburg v FC Energie Cottbus

Inizio: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Finale: Jahn Regensburg 0–1 FC Energie Cottbus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Casa)

Previsione 22.15%4.52quota equa
EV +5.20%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.072%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.57%22.06%21.88%25.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.064.104.7529.41%24.64%24.39%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Energie Cottbus (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.44%1.80quota equa
EV -0.200%
Vantaggio -0.111%
Kelly -0.249%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.17%55.40%56.05%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.651.651.8066.67%60.57%60.61%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.41%4.46quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.319%
Kelly -0.413%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.14%22.54%22.08%24.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.994.004.4030.30%25.09%25.00%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV +5.20%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.072%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.82%EV -12.40%E -7.85%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -3.64%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 10:50
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -0.339%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -15.17%E -9.91%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 23:35
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 21.59%EV -3.00%E -0.684%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.66%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -10.81%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:25
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 23:40
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.23%EV -4.10%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.40%EV -16.83%E -11.22%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 10:55
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:09
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:10
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.64%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:10
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -1.40%E -0.319%K -0.413%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.63%E -5.90%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.10%EV -15.30%E -4.05%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:16
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.41%EV -16.83%E -11.22%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-16 10:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:05
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 13:54
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:53
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:53
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:53
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -2.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:24
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -0.754%E -0.421%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.63%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.63%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:10
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 22.03%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.72%EV -15.17%E -9.91%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.25%EV -19.33%E -5.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-16 11:04
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -18.06%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -20.27%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -0.200%E -0.111%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -18.21%E -4.99%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:25
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -20.27%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.44%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -15.97%E -4.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.70%E -7.26%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 50.83%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.95%EV -26.05%E -7.89%K -11.33%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-05-16 11:25