L’École des cotes

Jahn Regensburg v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : Jahn Regensburg 0–1 FC Energie Cottbus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prévision 22.15%4.52cote équitable
EV +5.20%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.57%22.06%21.88%25.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.064.104.7529.41%24.64%24.39%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.44%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.200%
Avantage -0.111%
Kelly -0.249%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.17%55.40%56.05%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.651.651.8066.67%60.57%60.61%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.41%4.46cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.413%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.14%22.54%22.08%24.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.994.004.4030.30%25.09%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV +5.20%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.072%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.82%EV -12.40%E -7.85%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -3.64%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 10:50
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -0.339%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -15.17%E -9.91%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 23:35
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 21.59%EV -3.00%E -0.684%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.66%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -10.81%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:25
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 23:40
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.23%EV -4.10%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.40%EV -16.83%E -11.22%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 10:55
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:09
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:10
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.64%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:10
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -1.40%E -0.319%K -0.413%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.63%E -5.90%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.10%EV -15.30%E -4.05%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:16
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.41%EV -16.83%E -11.22%K -33.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-16 10:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:05
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 13:54
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:53
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:53
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:53
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 13:54
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -2.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:24
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -0.754%E -0.421%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.63%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.63%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:10
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 22.03%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.72%EV -15.17%E -9.91%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.25%EV -19.33%E -5.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-16 11:04
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -18.06%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -20.27%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -0.200%E -0.111%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -18.21%E -4.99%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:25
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -20.27%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.44%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -15.97%E -4.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.70%E -7.26%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 50.83%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.95%EV -26.05%E -7.89%K -11.33%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-05-16 11:25