La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jahn Regensburg v FC Energie Cottbus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Predicción 22.15%4.52momio equitativo
EV +5.20%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.57%22.06%21.88%25.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.064.104.7529.41%24.64%24.39%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante)
Predicción 55.44%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.200%
Ventaja -0.111%
Kelly -0.249%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.17%55.40%56.05%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.651.651.8066.67%60.57%60.61%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.41%4.46momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.14%22.54%22.08%24.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.994.004.4030.30%25.09%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV +5.20%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.072% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.82%EV -12.40%E -7.85%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -3.64%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -0.339%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -15.17%E -9.91%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 23:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.59%EV -3.00%E -0.684%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.66%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -10.81%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -12.95%E -8.25%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.23%EV -4.10%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.40%EV -16.83%E -11.22%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.64%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -1.40%E -0.319%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.63%E -5.90%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Suprabets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.10%EV -15.30%E -4.05%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:16 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.41%EV -16.83%E -11.22%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:53 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:53 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:53 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.49%E -2.91%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -0.754%E -0.421%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.63%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.63%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.03%EV -15.84%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.72%EV -15.17%E -9.91%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.25%EV -19.33%E -5.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-16 11:04 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -18.06%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -20.27%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -0.200%E -0.111%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -18.21%E -4.99%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -20.27%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.44%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -15.97%E -4.26%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.70%E -7.26%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.83%EV -10.18%E -6.28%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.95%EV -26.05%E -7.89%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.55% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |