Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jahn Regensburg v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 14:30 UTC

Score final : Jahn Regensburg 0–1 1. FC Saarbrücken

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prévision 36.31%2.75cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.35%36.39%36.23%38.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.512.502.6644.44%39.88%40.00%37.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.77%2.65cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.63%37.84%37.62%39.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.402.5545.45%42.07%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.393%
Kelly -0.534%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.32%25.77%26.15%27.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.44%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jahn Regensburg (Local) : 36.31% ; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur) : 37.77% ; Match nul : 25.92%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.80, pour une espérance de -1.49% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.80%EV -4.82%E -1.91%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -4.82%E -1.91%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -4.82%E -1.91%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 14:20
Suprabets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.73%EV -7.78%E -3.06%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.66%EV -8.97%E -3.72%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.61%EV -11.60%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:17
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -8.51%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -8.51%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:19
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -1.49%E -0.393%K -0.534%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:24
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:14
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:04
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 14:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 14:04
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -9.96%E -4.02%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.90%EV -13.88%E -6.09%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:09
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:14
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.00%EV -16.49%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.68%EV -16.90%E -7.68%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%17.5%2026-08-16 14:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -18.31%E -8.14%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -17.05%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-16 14:18
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -18.31%E -8.14%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -17.05%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-16 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.95%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-16 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-08-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-08-16 14:25