Idioma:Español
Jahn Regensburg v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Predicción 36.31%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.35%36.39%36.23%38.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.512.502.6644.44%39.88%40.00%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)
Predicción 37.77%2.65momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.63%37.84%37.62%39.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.402.5545.45%42.07%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.393%
Kelly -0.534%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.32%25.77%26.15%27.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.44%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 36.31%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante): 37.77%; Empate: 25.92%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.80, con un valor esperado de -1.49%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.80%EV -4.82%E -1.91%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -4.82%E -1.91%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -4.82%E -1.91%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.60%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.24%E -4.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.73%EV -7.78%E -3.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.66%EV -8.97%E -3.72%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 26.61%EV -11.60%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 14:17 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -8.51%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -8.51%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -1.49%E -0.393%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.23%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -9.96%E -4.02%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.90%EV -13.88%E -6.09%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.00%EV -16.49%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.68%EV -16.90%E -7.68%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -18.31%E -8.14%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -17.05%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-08-16 14:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -18.31%E -8.14%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -15.02%E -6.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -17.05%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.95% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |