Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Final: Hansa Rostock 3–3 Waldhof Mannheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prediction 57.94%1.73fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -6.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.52%57.90%57.84%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 20.37%4.91fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%20.37%20.45%21.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.334.334.7625.64%23.09%23.09%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.69%4.61fair odd
EV -0.219%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.74%21.71%23.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.084.004.6027.78%24.50%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 57.94%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 20.37%; Draw: 21.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.219%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:08
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.93%EV -3.04%E -0.639%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.86%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -4.26%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -4.26%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.531%K -0.682%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 11:14
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:14
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -16.49%E -4.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.47%EV -7.88%E -4.95%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.56%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 11:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 11:20
Suprabets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.219%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 11:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.21%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -12.41%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 11:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -18.52%E -4.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-16 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.86%EV -11.93%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-16 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -18.52%E -4.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-16 11:14
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -20.56%E -5.27%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.91%E -6.09%K -8.43%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-16 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -20.56%E -5.27%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.91%E -6.09%K -8.43%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-16 11:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%2.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%2.5%2026-08-16 11:20