Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hansa Rostock v Waldhof Mannheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : Hansa Rostock 3–3 Waldhof Mannheim

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prévision 57.94%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -6.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.52%57.90%57.84%59.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.37%4.91cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.639%
Kelly -0.809%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.93%20.37%20.45%21.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.334.334.7625.64%23.09%23.09%21.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.69%4.61cote équitable
EV -0.219%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%21.74%21.71%23.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.004.6027.78%24.50%25.00%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hansa Rostock (Local) : 57.94% ; Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur) : 20.37% ; Match nul : 21.69%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.60, pour une espérance de -0.219% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:08
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:59
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.93%EV -3.04%E -0.639%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.86%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -4.26%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -4.26%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.531%K -0.682%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 11:14
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:14
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.45%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -16.49%E -4.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.47%EV -7.88%E -4.95%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.56%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 11:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 11:20
Suprabets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -8.46%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.219%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 11:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.21%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -12.41%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.04%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 11:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -8.34%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -11.80%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -18.52%E -4.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -15.40%E -3.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-16 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.86%EV -11.93%E -7.85%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-16 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -18.52%E -4.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-16 11:14
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -20.56%E -5.27%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.91%E -6.09%K -8.43%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-16 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -20.56%E -5.27%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.91%E -6.09%K -8.43%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-16 11:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%2.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%2.5%2026-08-16 11:20