A Escola das Odds

Hansa Rostock v SSV Ulm 1846

Início: 2026-04-11 14:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Previsão 61.41%1.63odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.21%61.49%61.37%63.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.511.501.6071.43%66.09%66.67%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visitante)

Previsão 17.76%5.63odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.421%
Kelly -0.514%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.99%17.80%17.68%19.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.404.864.805.5022.73%20.56%20.83%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.83%4.80odd justa
EV -0.024%
Vantagem -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.38%20.70%20.95%23.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.204.204.8027.78%23.81%23.81%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.60%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.20%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.95%EV -0.648%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:19
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -7.64%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.52%EV -12.79%E -2.61%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.25%EV -10.85%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.52%EV -12.79%E -2.61%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.25%EV -10.85%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.53%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:15
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.53%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -1.06%E -0.224%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:14
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.31%E -0.421%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Suprabets1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:21
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -10.96%E -7.56%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 14:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -20.07%E -4.46%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 09:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.63%E -3.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 57.89%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.95%EV -21.85%E -4.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -25.02%E -6.95%K -9.62%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-11 14:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.03%E -10.02%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-11 14:20