L’École des cotes

Hansa Rostock v SSV Ulm 1846

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prévision 61.41%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.21%61.49%61.37%63.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.501.6071.43%66.09%66.67%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.76%5.63cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.421%
Kelly -0.514%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.99%17.80%17.68%19.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.864.805.5022.73%20.56%20.83%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.83%4.80cote équitable
EV -0.024%
Avantage -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.38%20.70%20.95%23.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.204.204.8027.78%23.81%23.81%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.60%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.20%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.95%EV -0.648%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:19
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -7.64%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.52%EV -12.79%E -2.61%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.25%EV -10.85%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.52%EV -12.79%E -2.61%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.25%EV -10.85%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.53%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:15
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.53%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -1.06%E -0.224%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:14
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.31%E -0.421%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Suprabets1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:21
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -10.96%E -7.56%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 14:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -20.07%E -4.46%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 09:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.63%E -3.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 14:20
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 57.89%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.95%EV -21.85%E -4.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -25.02%E -6.95%K -9.62%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-11 14:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.03%E -10.02%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-11 14:20