La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hansa Rostock v SSV Ulm 1846
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Predicción 61.41%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.21%61.49%61.37%63.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.501.6071.43%66.09%66.67%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SSV Ulm 1846 (Visitante)
Predicción 17.76%5.63momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.514%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.99%17.80%17.68%19.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.864.805.5022.73%20.56%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.83%4.80momio equitativo
EV -0.024%
Ventaja -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.38%20.70%20.95%23.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.204.204.8027.78%23.81%23.81%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -18.30%E -3.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.60%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV -3.20%E -0.587%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.95%EV -0.648%E -0.136%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -7.64%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.52%EV -12.79%E -2.61%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.25%EV -10.85%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.52%EV -12.79%E -2.61%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.25%EV -10.85%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.53%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -8.53%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.75%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -1.06%E -0.224%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.31%E -0.421%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:21 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -10.96%E -7.56%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.35%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 14:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -20.07%E -4.46%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-11 09:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.63%E -3.29%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.89%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 18.95%EV -21.85%E -4.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -25.02%E -6.95%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-11 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.03%E -10.02%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -11.19%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |