Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock v Jahn Regensburg

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prediction 58.48%1.71fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.86%58.58%58.46%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.581.6666.67%62.99%63.29%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visit)

Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.60%19.82%19.92%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.335.0025.00%22.60%23.09%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.72%4.61fair odd
EV -0.110%
Edge -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.23%21.60%21.62%24.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.004.004.6029.41%24.97%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 58.48%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 19.80%; Draw: 21.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.110%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.16%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -13.87%E -3.19%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -16.40%E -4.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:25
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 12:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.95%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.94%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.11%EV -3.58%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.03%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.59%E -4.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 12:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.59%E -4.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.88%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 05:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.59%E -4.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.88%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.00%E -0.200%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 12:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:01
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -8.76%E -5.62%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 06:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.00%E -0.200%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -0.110%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 21:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -14.27%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.652%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 06:04
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -4.96%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 11:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 09:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 21:10
Suprabets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.92%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.47%EV -14.27%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -10.97%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-24 03:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -11.10%E -7.30%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 05:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-21 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -14.27%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -20.80%E -5.20%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-20 06:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.35%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.86%EV -26.17%E -7.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -20.80%E -5.20%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -24.00%E -6.86%K -9.60%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-22 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%6.2%2026-04-24 00:04