La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hansa Rostock v Jahn Regensburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Predicción 58.48%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -4.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.86%58.58%58.46%60.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.581.6666.67%62.99%63.29%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jahn Regensburg (Visitante)
Predicción 19.80%5.05momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.200%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.60%19.82%19.92%21.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.335.0025.00%22.60%23.09%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.72%4.61momio equitativo
EV -0.110%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.23%21.60%21.62%24.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.004.004.6029.41%24.97%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.16%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -13.87%E -3.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -16.40%E -4.26%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -6.42%E -4.02%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.95%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.94%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.11%EV -3.58%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.03%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.59%E -4.81%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.59%E -4.81%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.88%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 05:55 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.59%E -4.81%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.88%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.00%E -0.200%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 12:09 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:01 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -8.76%E -5.62%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 06:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.00%E -0.200%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -0.110%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 21:09 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -14.27%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 06:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -4.96%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.80%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 09:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 21:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.92%EV -10.52%E -6.87%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.47%EV -14.27%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -10.97%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -11.10%E -7.30%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -14.86%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-21 05:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-21 09:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -14.27%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 09:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -20.80%E -5.20%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-20 06:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.35%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.86%EV -26.17%E -7.70%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -12.27%E -8.18%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -20.80%E -5.20%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -24.00%E -6.86%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |