Language:English
Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfB Stuttgart II
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.04%53.01%52.98%56.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.701.8063.69%59.05%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV +4.05%
Edge +0.932%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.04%23.89%23.90%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.913.904.3530.30%25.57%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%23.10%23.11%24.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.904.004.2028.57%25.61%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 52.98%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 23.92%; Draw: 23.10%. For VfB Stuttgart II (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 03:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.464%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.29%EV -16.81%E -10.71%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV +0.464%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.27%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -4.80%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 16:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 15:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.15%EV -9.82%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.53%EV -10.62%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 16:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-28 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-28 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.24%EV -15.22%E -9.52%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -19.17%E -5.48%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.24%EV -15.22%E -9.52%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -19.17%E -5.48%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-28 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.40%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -21.06%E -6.38%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-28 16:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |