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Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfB Stuttgart II
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Predicción 52.98%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.63%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.04%53.01%52.98%56.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.691.701.8063.69%59.05%58.82%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante)
Predicción 23.92%4.18momio equitativo
EV +4.05%
Ventaja +0.932%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.04%23.89%23.90%26.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.913.904.3530.30%25.57%25.64%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.10%4.33momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -0.937%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.13%23.10%23.11%24.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.904.004.2028.57%25.61%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 52.98%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante): 23.92%; Empate: 23.10%. Para VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.18. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.05%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.96%EV -13.11%E -7.99%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +4.05%E +0.932%K +1.21%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 03:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.464%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.29%EV -16.81%E -10.71%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV +0.464%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.27%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -4.80%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.91%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 16:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 15:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.10%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.15%EV -9.82%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.53%EV -10.62%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 16:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-28 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-28 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.89%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.24%EV -15.22%E -9.52%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -19.17%E -5.48%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.24%EV -15.22%E -9.52%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -16.28%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -19.17%E -5.48%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-28 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.40%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -21.06%E -6.38%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-28 16:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 16:55 |