Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 44.92%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 29.68%; Draw: 25.40%. For VfB Stuttgart II (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.919%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.919%E +0.270%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.31%EV -0.268%E -0.080%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.69%EV -10.61%E -5.33%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.54%EV -9.58%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:16 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -7.39%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -5.00%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 11:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -12.44%E -4.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.37%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -14.81%E -5.16%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -14.81%E -5.16%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.06%E -5.59%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -15.41%E -5.41%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.68%EV -16.89%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 44.58%EV -16.00%E -8.56%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -16.89%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -17.45%E -5.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 44.58%EV -16.00%E -8.56%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -16.89%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -17.45%E -5.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |