Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Würzburger Kickers v VfB Stuttgart II

Início: 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC

Final: FC Würzburger Kickers 1–2 VfB Stuttgart II

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Previsão 44.92%2.23odd justa
EV -5.67%
Vantagem -2.70%
Kelly -5.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.48%45.10%44.84%47.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.032.052.1053.48%49.22%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante)

Previsão 29.68%3.37odd justa
EV +0.919%
Vantagem +0.270%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.44%29.50%29.74%31.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.013.003.4035.71%33.24%33.33%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.40%3.94odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -0.916%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.49%25.39%25.42%26.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.563.603.8030.77%28.13%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 44.92%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante): 29.68%; Empate: 25.40%. Para VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.37. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.919%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.919%E +0.270%K +0.383%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.31%EV -0.268%E -0.080%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 11:15
Suprabets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.69%EV -10.61%E -5.33%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.54%EV -9.58%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:16
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:15
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:25
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -7.39%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -5.00%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 11:13
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:14
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 11:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -12.44%E -4.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 11:24
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.37%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 11:15
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -14.81%E -5.16%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -14.81%E -5.16%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.06%E -5.59%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -15.41%E -5.41%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.68%EV -16.89%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.58%EV -16.00%E -8.56%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -16.89%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -17.45%E -5.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-06 11:20
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.58%EV -16.00%E -8.56%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -16.89%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -17.45%E -5.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-06 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-09-06 11:20