Language:English
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Rot-Weiss Essen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)
Prediction 32.67%3.06fair odd
EV +0.632%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.304%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.04%32.59%32.74%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.753.0840.00%36.33%36.36%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)
Prediction 40.48%2.47fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.42%40.55%40.50%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.282.3547.62%44.53%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.86%26.76%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.453.6034.72%29.44%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 32.67%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 40.48%; Draw: 26.85%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.632%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV +0.632%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV +0.632%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.62%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.45%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.95%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.90%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.90%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -6.23%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -6.23%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.88%E -2.41%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 18:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%EV -7.21%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -10.14%E -4.57%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 17:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.86%E -2.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.71%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.86%E -2.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.71%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 18:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.51%EV -8.11%E -3.57%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 18:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.71%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -11.78%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.78%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.98%EV -14.07%E -5.35%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-22 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -14.40%E -5.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -14.40%E -5.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -15.05%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -22.68%E -7.87%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -18.32%E -7.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-22 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 18:10 |