Idioma:Español
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Rot-Weiss Essen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)
Predicción 32.67%3.06momio equitativo
EV +0.632%
Ventaja +0.205%
Kelly +0.304%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.04%32.59%32.74%34.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.753.0840.00%36.33%36.36%32.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visitante)
Predicción 40.48%2.47momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -3.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.42%40.55%40.50%42.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.282.3547.62%44.53%43.86%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.930%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.58%26.86%26.76%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.453.6034.72%29.44%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 32.67%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visitante): 40.48%; Empate: 26.85%. Para FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.06. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.08, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.632%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV +0.632%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV +0.632%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.62%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.45%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.95%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.90%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.90%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -6.23%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -6.23%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.88%E -2.41%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 18:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%EV -7.21%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -10.14%E -4.57%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 17:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.86%E -2.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.71%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.86%E -2.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.71%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 18:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.51%EV -8.11%E -3.57%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 18:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.71%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.15%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -11.78%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.78%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -13.42%E -5.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.98%EV -14.07%E -5.35%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-22 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -14.40%E -5.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -14.40%E -5.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -15.05%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -22.68%E -7.87%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -18.32%E -7.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-22 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 18:10 |