Language:English
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Alemannia Aachen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)
Prediction 31.67%3.16fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.45%31.66%31.72%33.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.802.803.0038.17%35.69%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visit)
Prediction 43.23%2.31fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.71%43.38%43.02%45.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.142.152.3052.36%46.71%46.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -0.916%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%24.96%25.26%26.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.503.8832.26%28.07%28.57%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 31.67%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 43.23%; Draw: 25.09%. For Alemannia Aachen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.562%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.58%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.60%EV -2.64%E -0.680%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -10.07%E -4.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.80%EV -6.88%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.61%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.80%EV -6.88%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.61%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.52%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 15:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.52%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 02:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.45%EV -9.64%E -4.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.68%EV -7.66%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.88%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -0.562%E -0.244%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.45%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.04%EV -17.42%E -9.12%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -22.21%E -7.16%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 21.7% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -18.45%E -5.68%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |