La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Alemannia Aachen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)
Predicción 31.67%3.16momio equitativo
EV -4.98%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.45%31.66%31.72%33.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.802.803.0038.17%35.69%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)
Predicción 43.23%2.31momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.432%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.71%43.38%43.02%45.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.142.152.3052.36%46.71%46.62%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.09%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -0.916%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%24.96%25.26%26.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.503.8832.26%28.07%28.57%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.58%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.60%EV -2.64%E -0.680%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -10.07%E -4.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.80%EV -6.88%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.61%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.80%EV -6.88%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.61%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.52%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 15:04 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.52%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 02:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Suprabets | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.45%EV -9.64%E -4.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.68%EV -7.66%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -9.73%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.88%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-07 10:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -0.562%E -0.244%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -1.43%E -0.626%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.43%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.45%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.04%EV -17.42%E -9.12%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -22.21%E -7.16%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 21.7% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.66%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.59%EV -18.45%E -5.68%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |