Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v VfL Osnabrück
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.662%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.58%26.62%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.7031.25%29.71%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Osnabrück (Visit)
Prediction 48.51%2.06fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%48.52%48.41%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.911.9857.14%52.82%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -0.219%
Edge -0.055%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%24.90%24.97%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.633.654.0031.25%27.56%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 26.54%; VfL Osnabrück (Visit): 48.51%; Draw: 24.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.219%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -1.79%E -0.483%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.28%E -4.97%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -11.23%E -6.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -9.77%E -5.25%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.72%EV -8.20%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 10:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -3.95%E -1.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 08:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.23%E -6.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.23%E -6.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.68%E -7.04%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.68%E -7.04%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -15.06%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -12.68%E -7.04%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 07:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -15.06%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.76%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -20.18%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-18 10:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |