La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Ingolstadt 04 v VfL Osnabrück
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Predicción 26.54%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.483%
Kelly -0.662%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%26.58%26.62%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.403.7031.25%29.71%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfL Osnabrück (Visitante)
Predicción 48.51%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.90%48.52%48.41%50.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.891.911.9857.14%52.82%52.36%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.95%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.219%
Ventaja -0.055%
Kelly -0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.23%24.90%24.97%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.633.654.0031.25%27.56%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -1.79%E -0.483%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.28%E -4.97%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.10%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -11.23%E -6.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.86%E -3.57%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Suprabets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -9.77%E -5.25%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.72%EV -8.20%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 10:51 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.219%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -3.95%E -1.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 08:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.23%E -6.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.23%E -6.13%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.68%E -7.04%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.34%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.73%E -4.23%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.68%E -7.04%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -15.06%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -12.68%E -7.04%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 07:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -15.06%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.76%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -20.18%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-18 10:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |