StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Ingolstadt 04 v TSG Hoffenheim II

Matchstart: 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim II

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Hemma)

Prognos 46.28%2.16rättvist odds
EV -5.13%
Fördel -2.50%
Kelly -4.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.00%46.33%46.31%47.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.21%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta)

Prognos 29.06%3.44rättvist odds
EV -1.20%
Fördel -0.353%
Kelly -0.501%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.49%29.02%28.94%30.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.04%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.67%4.05rättvist odds
EV -3.56%
Fördel -0.910%
Kelly -1.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.72%24.65%24.75%25.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.663.653.9129.41%27.30%27.40%25.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Hemma): 46.28%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta): 29.06%; Oavgjort: 24.67%. För TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.44. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.40, med väntevärdet -1.20%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -2.95%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -3.56%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.97%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.30%E -4.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.30%E -4.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 16:15
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.30%E -4.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:50
Suprabets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.72%EV -7.89%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 16:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:50
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.58%EV -10.22%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 16:52
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -11.15%E -5.81%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 16:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-16 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -13.00%E -6.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -9.97%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-16 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -16.31%E -5.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-16 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.72%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-16 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.72%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-16 16:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55